If an octopus can predict the future for football, can property do the same for Rugby?

Leading international property portal Propertyshowrooms.com has looked at the year’s greatest sporting event in terms of international property data. To date they have correctly predicted the results of 90% of the tournament’s group games.

Fig. 1 The World Champions?


With the tension mounting ahead of Saturday’s crucial quarter-final crunches, the outcome may already have been decided!

Looking at average house statistics for each nation, the scoring methodology is simple:

• A try (5 points) is scored per bedroom (the key factor in calculating value for money)
• A conversion (2 points) is awarded for every €100,000 of average property prices
• Penalties (3 points) represent rental yield, with 1 penalty scored for each 1%
• The cheeky drop-goal (3 points) is scored for every €500 /sq. ft on average property prices.
  

Fig. 2 How the Points are Worked Out


Throughout the pool stages of RWC there have been few surprises with the exception of a couple of sterling performances from Namibia, seeing them finish 3rd in difficult Pool D – a great result for the minnows from southern Africa! Worthy of mention, of course, was the major upset of the tournament – a textbook performance from Ireland to beat the Wallabies, thereby throwing the tournament wide open into a fascinating 6 Nations / Tri-Nations dogfight. As reliable as the predictor has been to date, had price increases / decreases been a consideration would the tournament have progressed exactly as predicted following an expected Aussie victory?



Fig. 3 Head to Head

So what about the knockout stages? It’s been everything to play for, with nail-biting quarter-final clashes resulting in close contests between the Northern Hemisphere teams – England and Ireland just squeezing out the French and a vibrant Welsh selection. South Africa outmuscled an Australian 15 replicating little of the form showed in the run-up to the competition and the hosts, New Zealand, were given a bit of scare to scrape through their match against the Argentinians.

With few fingernails remaining, the semi-finals had many fans hiding behind the sofa – England scraping a last-gasp drop goal (surprise surprise) to edge out the gallant Irish, and the Boks beefing past the tournament favourites much to the dismay of the host nation. With the customary dip in New Zealand’s economy that follows each – and continual – RWC flop, now may be a good time to snap up a few bargain shares?

The 3rd place playoff is, sadly, a traditional “who cares?” affair, but this tournament produced another close finish with New Zealand proving a slightly stronger bet than the finest team Ireland has yet produced.

And so to the final. In 2007 England were, by anybody’s standards, the surprise package, losing to an in-form South Africa under slightly debatable circumstances. In 2011 history has repeated itself; the same finalists, with England fumbling the ball under the posts in the dying seconds of the game. No extra time, but a titanic clash with the defending champions South Africa becoming the first team to win back-to-back tournaments.

So, once again, the Webb Ellis trophy lives in the Southern Hemisphere for another 4 years. 2011 RWC, however, has shown that the traditional gap between the two hemispheres has narrowed considerably. England continues with an admirable track record; Ireland a surprise package when considering their build-up to the tournament, but South Africa remain very much the team to beat. Hard luck New Zealand….yet another 4 years, boys?

Article by Terry Hobbs, Media Manager at Propertyshowrooms.com